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Mind games: Don't play on terrorists' turf
by
Phil Zimbardo, Stanford University
 
(Originally published in San Francisco Chronicle on
November 4, 2001)  

OK, class, today's lesson plan centers on mentally role-playing a terrorist whose objective is to induce high levels of public anxiety, confusion, mental exhaustion and sub-optimal information-processing. How would you, as a hypothetical terrorist, go about this difficult task based on what you have learned from basic cognitive and social psychology?

First, cognitive or intellectual functioning are limited resources within the target population. Even smart people have difficulty doing two tasks well at the same time. If one task requires effort, the second suffers.

Questions?

Sir, what else from our research about the public would help the terrorist?

-- Optimal performance on simple tasks increases as arousal gets higher, but it deteriorates on complex tasks after a moderate level of arousal is exceeded.

-- Focused attention operates in a similar fashion, increasing as we go from low to moderate levels but decreasing with very high levels of arousal.

-- With high chronic arousal, one's attention to! peripheral cues in the situation is challenged by greater attention to highly salient central stimuli.

-- Emotion-arousing communications create anxiety, learned helplessness and an inability to function effectively in everyday activities -- unless the target population is also given specific, concrete channels of action that can be performed to cope with the implied threat. Chronic levels of stress over an extended time impair effective information processing and rational decision- making. You can also induce cognitive dissonance by insisting on hyper-vigilance to terrorist attacks while at the same time advocating a return to normal business.

-- Credible communicators, with high perceived authority based on expertise and trustworthiness, are most effective in getting audiences to follow their persuasive communications. 

So, to achieve our terrorist's objectives, what is the working "action plan"?

Have a credible authority, say an attorney general, issue a communication to the general public that is very highly arousing, about an imminent danger to life and well-being, likely to occur anywhere, at any time in the near future. It should provide no hint about what the public might do to cope with it, except to maintain high, sustained vigilance. And then, after demonstrating that the public has tried to comply with that message by being on chronic alert for days while no threat actually surfaces, have the credible communicator reissue the same anxiety-arousing, performance-impairing message.

Sir, what will happen then?

Any student of human nature would surely know the mental and behavioral consequences of such an improbable situation that our terrorist might help create. The public will be! come chronically anxious, feel helpless to do anything that might make a difference in reducing arousal and become unable to channel that arousal in meaningful task performance. The public's vigilance will actually suffer and probably get focused more narrowly on small (irrelevant) things people can do something about, like cleaning their homes, shopping, buying handguns, eating comfort foods, downing 60 Cipro pills or doing anything that provides an illusion of mastery and control.

They might feel guilty about not sustaining the recommended vigilance to the vague enemy threats, and also about not trusting government communicators.

But that just adds to their generalized arousal and creates further insecurity, mental exhaustion and limited constructive problem-solving.

But why would any responsible authority follow such a counterproductive protocol? If he or she knew of a credible enemy threat, why would an official not simply alert law enforcement and intelligence agencies to be on super alert and not repeatedly alarm the public? In the long run, doesn't it impair the public's ability and motivation to take constructive action when the next situation arises that demands intelligent public response?

Another good question, class. Imagine that the news media are constantly pressing authorities to come clean, to say something, to say anything, to imply that even in wartime, new media rules demand full disclosure. The media mantra: "The public has a right to know everything; truth must prevail over national security and national mental health." Such is the media's justification to fill the vacuums in news cycles. Thus, our authority, even if he or she might know all about the psychological research we have outlined in today's le! sson, is trapped into going beyond alerting appropriate agencies. The authority person spills the beans to the media -- and everyone else.

All our shadowy terrorists have to do then is drop hints of "credible" threats of attacks wherever these might be detected by worldwide intelligence forces. Think about it. The terrorists no longer even have to go through the bother of an attack. They have been there, done that, and so have earned credibility. They can leave it to us to make ourselves crazy. By publicizing the terrorists' cause in this way, our media do their promotion for free.

Obviously, playing such terrorist mind games -- on their terms -- should alert us to the conditions that enable terrorism to continue to achieve clear psychological goals and have the American people:

-- Lose their sense of personal security and trust.

-- Feel fearful, anxious and suspicious.

-- Experience disruption of usual lifestyle patterns.

-- Become hopeless about positive change.

-- And feel helpless about participating in trying to effect solutions.

But isn't anthrax a real concern to Americans?

No, it has been limited to a few East Coast cities and a few targets, and has spread a bit further through mail contamination. The terrorists likely were unaware this could happen. The risk of getting sick or dying from anthrax poisoning pales in comparison to the risk from auto accidents, the flu, AIDS -- or even home accidents.

To increase health and well-being, there are a lot more significant things to do than dose down with Cipro: You might fasten your seat belt, don't drink and drive, do take prescribed medicines, exercise regularly, don't smoke and don't overeat. And while you're at it, take the time to build strong social support networks in your neighborhood and among friends and family. That is the single most important thing anyone can do to promote health and well-being -- at the personal and at the community level.

We might also ask that the government appoint authoritative spokes people who can speak to specific public concerns -- without the present confusion.

There should be regular follow-ups on informational Web sites featuring answers to frequently asked questions.

Our next assignment, class, is to develop an action plan for counter-psychological terrorism designed to promote a set of positive virtues in Americans: resiliency, personal courage, feelings of genuine mastery and self efficacy, trust in government and in each other, along with insights for building vital social support networks and creating new priorities that put human relationships and national resolve before self-centered material gain.

It's a tough assignment for sure, but I have faith that working collaboratively with other students of human nature, you can help design such an ambitious plan to put Americans back in charge of their lives and of the nation they love so much.

Next time, be sure to do your readings in positive psychology.

Thank you for your attention. Class dismissed.

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