Propensity matching approaches are a useful way to isolate the effect of a potential causal variable when random assignment is not possible. Propensity matching methods are used to be able to compare individuals exposed to a treatment or risk factor (e.g., caregiving) to unexposed individuals that are similar in terms of potential confounding factors. For example, a study might use propensity matching to compare depressive symptoms among caregivers and non-caregivers balanced on age, sex, and marital status. During matching, a propensity score would be calculated for each participant to reflect the probability of the participant being a caregiver based on the set of chosen factors (i.e., age, sex, and marital status). This is done through logistic regression, where group membership is the dependent variable and possible confounds are the predictor variables. Next, caregivers’ and non-caregivers’ propensity scores would be compared, and each caregiver would be paired with one or more non-caregivers with a propensity score closest to them. This process would repeat until each caregiver has been paired with one or more matched non-caregivers, resulting in a sample of caregivers and propensity-matched non-caregivers.
Propensity matching has several benefits. After controlling for systematic differences between comparison groups, we can be more confident that any remaining differences are attributable to the variable of interest. Therefore, propensity matched analyses may yield more precise estimates of the effect of a potential causal variable (e.g., caregiving status). However, there are several important considerations and potential limitations of this method.
One important consideration is selecting one of the various methods for matching based on propensity scores: Optimal matching, greedy matching, etc. An overview of these methods is available onlineopens in new window (see also Austin, 2014). A limitation of the propensity score method is that it is does not accommodate missing data. For example, past research has utilized propensity score matching to examine mortality risk among CGs and non-CGs (Roth et al., 2013) using 15 variables: sex, race, age, geographic location, education, income, marital status, possession of medical insurance, smoking status, alcohol use, results of cognitive screener, self-rated health, and presence of hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease. Of potential participants, 6.2% were excluded from analysis due to missing data on the outcome of interest or at least one of the 15 propensity-matching covariates.
Another potential concern is that the matching procedure might not yield exact matches in samples with small group samples. Further, there must be enough variability in caregiver and non-caregiver groups to warrant the use of propensity matching (Fredman, Lyons, Cauley, Hochberg, & Applebaum, 2015). Finally, potential confounds that should be addressed through propensity matching may not be represented in the data. For example, when calculating propensity scores (i.e., the probability of being a CG), it is likely important to look at the health status of close others, for whom non-caregivers are potential caregivers. In other words, a non-caregiver should have a family member or friend that requires care for an illness or disability. If this crucial covariate is left out, then the comparison groups would remain unbalanced and results may be biased.
References
Austin, P. C. (2014). A comparison of 12 algorithms for matching on the propensity score. Statistics in Medicine, 33(6), 1057-1069. doi: 10.1002/sim.6004
Fredman, L., Lyons, J. G., Cauley, J. A., Hochberg, M., & Applebaum, K. M. (2015). The relationship between caregiving and mortality after accounting for time-carying caregiver status and addressing the healthy caregiver hypothesis. Journals of Gerontology. Series A: Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences, 70(9), 1163-1168.
Roth, D. L., Haley, W. E., Hovater, M., Perkins, M., Wadley, V. G., & Judd, S. (2013). Family caregiving and all-cause mortality: Findings from a population-based propensity-matched analysis. American Journal of Epidemiology, 178(10), 1571-1578.